Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.010435 0.012596 0.015299 0.019009 0.024105 0.031077 0.041759
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007758 0.010162 0.013564 0.018988 0.027985 0.043605 0.076660
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006310 0.008681 0.012303 0.018677 0.030794 0.056275 0.129508
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005189 0.007356 0.010827 0.017344 0.030953 0.064005 0.188052
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004465 0.006485 0.009849 0.016519 0.031656 0.073811 0.285759
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004019 0.005975 0.009360 0.016451 0.034012 0.091110 0.516722
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003734 0.005683 0.009187 0.016964 0.038152 0.120965 1.246101
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003447 0.005342 0.008855 0.017019 0.041126 0.152751 3.442824
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003131 0.004909 0.008268 0.016315 0.041403 0.172805 9.004431
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002900 0.004602 0.007887 0.016018 0.042963 0.206614 62.633266
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002791 0.004510 0.007928 0.016817 0.049209 0.303060 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002713 0.004463 0.008057 0.017905 0.057804 0.492267 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002618 0.004396 0.008178 0.019193 0.070061 0.980786 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002450 0.004164 0.007893 0.019181 0.076079 1.619754 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002287 0.003924 0.007549 0.018866 0.080239 2.623727 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002091 0.003598 0.006951 0.017515 0.076071 2.882574 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001940 0.003355 0.006529 0.016678 0.075080 3.750406 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001842 0.003212 0.006335 0.016609 0.080143 7.713518 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001779 0.003138 0.006301 0.017129 0.091433 38.958368 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001701 0.003027 0.006157 0.017185 0.099098 533.503103 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001602 0.002858 0.005843 0.016472 0.097897 9976.830967 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001526 0.002736 0.005640 0.016170 0.101227 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001495 0.002712 0.005694 0.016980 0.120633 NaN NaN